Alert-Grasp
0x48a5d8987d24d16e2d942386bbb718e170021f2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
26788 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-64.10
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
3317 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
1872 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.10
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with either Tate brother by next Sunday?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Tate go on Joe Rogan before April?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.23Mar 26, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 26, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy impeached before July?$1.10Mar 26, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump banned from Canada before May?$0.54Mar 26, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?$0.59Mar 10, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy impeached before July?$1.32Mar 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 3, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?$1.00Mar 3, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate go on Joe Rogan before April?$1.00Mar 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?$1.00Mar 3, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump banned from Canada before May?$1.00Mar 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with either Tate brother by next Sunday?$1.00Mar 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBybit insolvent in 2025?$3.61Mar 3, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBybit insolvent in 2025?$4.21Feb 26, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$3.71Feb 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.27Feb 25, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 23, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 23, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$1.00Feb 23, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $400.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".