Stimulating-Punishment
0x48a70c76b5d9c99dee649f8ded13cae7453d2625
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$38.04
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
35 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.27
$1.76
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.77
$0.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
13592 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?$33.51Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $138,000 October 6-12?$1.27Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.28Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.29Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.33Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$1.34Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.36Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?$1.57Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?$1.57Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?$1.66Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 October 6-12?$1.67Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 6-12?$1.67Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?$1.72Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $132,000 October 6-12?$2.12Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the best AI model on October 31?$2.12Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the second best AI model on October 31?$2.12Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $134,000 October 6-12?$2.27Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $33.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.