Flawed-Swanling
0x48a8a66bf98fb2948aaae33510c45b8c7698370f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$78.80
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$33.00Jan 27, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?$66.33Jan 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?$66.00Jan 25, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$45.30Jan 25, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$5.03Dec 31, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$101.32Dec 31, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$100.00Nov 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$5.00Nov 30, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMBiden wins the Popular Vote?$15.63Nov 30, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$94.42Nov 30, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$93.00Nov 6, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $65,000 on June 28?$40.04Jul 1, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on June 28?$52.63Jul 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on June 28?$40.00Jun 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,500 on June 28?$50.00Jun 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden wins the Popular Vote?$10.00Jun 28, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $49.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.