Polite-Scam
0x48abc486c27db8f4d920767d0339f9262078a612
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$138.88
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$36.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
3200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$138.88
$-11.52
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
26000 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Fed rate cut by November 7?
1666 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-24.66
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.94Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.02Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.14Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$9.50Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.47Mar 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.36Mar 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.90Mar 31, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.62Mar 31, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.19Mar 31, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.19Mar 31, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.56Mar 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.47Mar 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.94Mar 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.58Mar 31, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.96Mar 31, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.94Mar 31, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.94Mar 31, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.83Mar 31, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.50Mar 31, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.84Mar 31, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 14:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".