Excited-Sonar
0x48afc095acdfd8a79a3f76ad668a674722ca6f5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$106.06
Total PnL
$-793.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$90.91
$40.91
- YES
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.15
$10.15
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1413 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-283.46
- YES
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
1182 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
831 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
742 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
688 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
569 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-191.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$133.46Apr 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$20.00Apr 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$20.00Apr 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$10.00Apr 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Apr 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Apr 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Apr 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$90.00Apr 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$10.00Apr 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$20.00Apr 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$5.00Apr 11, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Apr 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.00Apr 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$15.00Mar 31, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$9.00Mar 31, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$9.00Mar 31, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00Mar 31, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Mar 31, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $37.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.