Lovable-Eclipse
0x48b5d23c1aef8b54e37b34ceaa8cd5d13ecb855c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-58.86
Realised
$-1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
660 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$660.00
$1.32
- NO
Will BNB reach $900 in March?
380 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$380.00
$0.76
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
243 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$242.50
$0.97
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 10-16?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
524 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
370 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
310 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-48.05
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
84 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$241.53Mar 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $900 in March?$379.24Mar 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.54Mar 26, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.70Mar 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$469.06Mar 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$469.53Mar 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$658.68Mar 23, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$710.00Mar 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$709.29Mar 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of November?$390.00Dec 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of November?$389.61Nov 24, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 November 10-16?$3.00Nov 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$3.70Nov 5, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Oct 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$138.46Oct 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$118.92Oct 29, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 16?$180.00Oct 29, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$320.00Oct 29, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$470.05Oct 29, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$580.00Oct 29, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $218.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.