Honorable-Oil
0x48b7926cf44a4601cbd27c253d8c20b93ca22b8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.27
Total PnL
$-5.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
7 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$1.00Mar 2, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$2.00Mar 1, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria in March?$1.00Mar 1, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.98Feb 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.00Feb 28, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?$1.45Feb 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.30Jan 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$1.35Dec 2, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$1.24Dec 1, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$0.00Nov 29, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.04Nov 27, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.04Nov 27, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.04Nov 27, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.04Nov 27, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.09Nov 27, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.