Brown-Daughter
0x48bec2272b207a69d0b7ceb9a3ac4a53a134a5c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$196.85
Total PnL
$-229.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 86.9¢·now 87.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.39
$0.29
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 82.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.96
$0.76
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.19
$3.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.08Jun 6, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$12.66Jun 6, 10:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $12.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.