0x48c0692a1bad1103107c66b29b61192ff17b53d5
0x48c0692a1bad1103107c66b29b61192ff17b53d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$248.99
Total PnL
$-167.69
Realised
$-20.13
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?
67 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$33.96
$-3.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?
38 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$28.64
$0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$26.09
$10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 17?
66 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$21.40
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 15?
18 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$18.19
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?
46 shares @ 50.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$16.84
$-6.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?
39 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$15.60
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?
53 shares @ 15.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.43
$4.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 15?
11 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$11.46
$1.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 16?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$11.03
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?$1.58Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?$1.28Jul 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 17?$1.82Jul 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?$1.50Jul 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?$2.13Jul 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 16?$0.85Jul 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?$4.17Jul 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 16?$0.31Jul 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 16?$2.01Jul 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 16?$0.78Jul 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?$2.39Jul 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?$2.33Jul 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 16?$11.62Jul 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?$0.48Jul 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$16.16Jul 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$17.90Jul 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 17?$2.56Jul 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 17?$22.15Jul 15, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 17?$30.97Jul 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 17?$9.63Jul 15, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.