Fickle-Convention
0x48c135a3bd1fac6e4837a5a5722e75a8c7ef7513
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$25.60
Total PnL
$5.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$10.00
$4.90
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?$5.00Mar 31, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5$5.10Mar 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$3.00Jan 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 22, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".