Unrealistic-Distortion
0x48c279a70abb356c139ada783c9abb5ffa7ba8ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-96.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.59
$0.09
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.41
$-0.09
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.13
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
52 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in April?
43 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.63
- NO
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
40 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?$20.13May 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$31.20May 14, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1700 in April?$17.63Apr 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$18.50Mar 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$21.46Mar 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$20.09Mar 19, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$23.94Mar 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$20.00Mar 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$18.50Mar 10, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$29.82Feb 28, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$31.50Feb 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.20Feb 25, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.54Feb 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?$28.00Feb 19, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$15.08Feb 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win La Liga?$15.86Feb 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$27.36Feb 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$28.80Feb 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$21.17Feb 13, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $21.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".