Rundown-Backyard
0x48ca6a915008c16a58e92892f5323ec511e4e75a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.61
Total PnL
$-86.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
59 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.61
$-0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 23?
200 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
87 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- NO
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
59 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on January 12?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.50Feb 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$17.00Feb 8, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$18.35Feb 2, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$6.80Jan 29, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.60Jan 29, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.33Jan 29, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 23?$35.00Jan 23, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$24.39Jan 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLZendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?$13.38Jan 21, 05:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$16.50Jan 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.13Jan 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$17.00Jan 12, 01:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 12, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on January 12?$10.00Jan 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?$6.00Jan 11, 18:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?$9.00Jan 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.00Jan 9, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $12.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.