Weak-Metaphor
0x48cea2758d6dadae1fb106233e6ef2de7a80153b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-594.23
Realised
$-3.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
1588 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
911 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
146 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
89 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.00May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$5.51Mar 31, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$147.00Mar 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$200.00Mar 3, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.00Mar 2, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.23Mar 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.54Mar 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$27.74Mar 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$13.52Mar 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$102.88Mar 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$51.00Mar 1, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$36.94Mar 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$17.52Mar 1, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.87Mar 1, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$7.35Mar 1, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $50.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".