Insubstantial-Court
0x48e2518b8e3fdb1aa4ad04c8168393b3f30c61e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.17
Total PnL
$-11.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$-0.82
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Mar 1, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.00Mar 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$6.24Mar 1, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland join the Board of Peace?$1.00Jan 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Jan 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Jan 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Jan 21, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Jan 21, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 21, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$1.00Jan 21, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".