Misguided-Hope
0x48e2c002146e7a104f6b12a1e43c2b747f1d5fd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-10.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
5966 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-636.31
- YES
Will Florida be the closest state?
5947 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-155.54
- YES
Will Texas be the closest state?
5882 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-138.60
- NO
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2319 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-103.76
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1732 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-281.18
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$6.59Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$7.50Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$47.99Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$11.11Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$64.34Aug 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$4.00Aug 22, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$16.31Aug 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$46.55Aug 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2.24Aug 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.91Aug 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$108.00Aug 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.09Aug 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$98.82Aug 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.10Aug 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.99Aug 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.06Aug 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.40Aug 22, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.06Aug 22, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$342.35Aug 22, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $61.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".