Suspicious-Comparison
0x48e6bb52a0c1fe9475afa6039eeb8f8f7aea1869
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-135.07
Realised
$7.67
Win rate
78%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Solana reach $190 January 5-11?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 20?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on January 11?
1031 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 7?
745 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.70
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 20?
552 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
542 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 11?
530 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.04Jul 21, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.05Jul 21, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.01Jul 21, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.30Jul 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.10Jul 21, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.26Jul 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.12Jul 21, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.28Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.61Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.97Jul 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.00Jul 21, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.05Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.05Jul 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.18Jul 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.02Jul 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.14Jul 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Jul 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jul 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.42Jul 2, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.20Jul 2, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.