Polished-Singular
0x48eaf90a23a64c6751d956a4477baf00a165f190
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Biden resign before inauguration?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon SBF?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" at CPAC conference on Saturday?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$0.00May 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$2.00May 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" at CPAC conference on Saturday?$5.00Feb 22, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?$5.00Feb 22, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?$5.98Feb 19, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?$5.00Feb 17, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?$1.00Feb 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Nosferatu' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?$1.00Jan 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?$2.00Jan 13, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" in his next speech?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMMatt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnderson Cooper out as CNN anchor in 2024? $0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMDaniel Penny found guilty?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMCosmo Jarvis announced as next James Bond?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of less than 60?$0.00Jan 11, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".