Disguised-Airforce
0x48ebee39aa56b2e96e6c7b98bc0e5ad6bd584add
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.6K
Realised
$-355.58
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 22?
5088 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-110.19
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 31?
3867 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
2155 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-691.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1528 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1236 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-590.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1124 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-198.92
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
951 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
950 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-583.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
812 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-486.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
808 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-57.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$25.58Jun 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$25.52Jun 30, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.25Jun 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$25.33Jun 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.02Jun 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$25.10Jun 30, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$26.34Jun 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$25.09Jun 30, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$26.88Jun 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$25.12Jun 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$25.93Jun 30, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$25.98Jun 30, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$28.74Jun 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.23Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$28.74Jun 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$25.23Jun 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$26.00Jun 30, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$29.07Jun 30, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$25.70Jun 30, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$25.24Jun 30, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $20.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.