Skeletal-Amazon
0x48f4a9a265467b81773c2e4e2c568d3e082e76d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-500.43
Realised
$-2.19
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10PM ET
567 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET
128 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
65 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
53 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
53 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
53 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11PM ET
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.54Jul 19, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.73Jul 19, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.79Jul 19, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.89Jul 19, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.96Jul 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.04Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.47Jul 18, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.96Jul 18, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.96Jul 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Jul 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.06Jul 18, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.00Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.00Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.