Understated-Dependency
0x48f562b263f8f9cd24a86c0fbe215b0a5de55ebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.48
Total PnL
$-183.00
Realised
$-4.45
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
6 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$5.89
$0.93
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
147 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-113.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on April 13?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
32 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
26 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
22 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on April 13?$4.99Apr 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$1.00Apr 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?$0.99Apr 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.01Apr 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$11.78Apr 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.58Apr 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$14.12Apr 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$14.00Apr 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$21.73Apr 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.80Apr 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.05Apr 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$17.18Apr 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.