Modest-Methodology
0x48fefa1638d4768e0a3926351f3587e223844e02
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 13?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 27?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on October 6?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 12?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 28?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 12?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on November 13?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 13?$2.00Nov 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 12?$1.15Nov 13, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 12?$3.03Nov 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 12?$1.00Nov 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 12?$3.00Nov 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?$5.00Nov 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 12?$1.00Nov 12, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 28?$1.03Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $210 on October 28?$1.05Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 28?$1.05Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?$1.10Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.70 on October 28?$1.14Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 28?$1.27Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 28?$1.32Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on October 28?$1.39Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on October 28?$1.00Oct 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on October 28?$1.00Oct 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 28?$1.00Oct 28, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".