Monthly-Theory
0x49007c4e9d6ce69c14fe53443875b02b438f40d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
139
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$4.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1524 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- ZIMBABWE
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwe
1111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
648 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- SRI LANKA
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
635 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- ZIMBABWE
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indies
440 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
367 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- ZIMBABWE
T20 Series New Zealand vs Zimbabwe, Women: New Zealand vs Zimbabwe
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ENGLAND
T20 World Cup: England vs India
318 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?
303 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUtah vs. Blackhawks$30.71Mar 10, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$31.71Mar 10, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$25.07Mar 9, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.83Mar 9, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$24.27Mar 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$15.29Mar 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$11.35Mar 9, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$5.00Mar 9, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A$12.94Mar 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A$8.94Mar 9, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncos$1.00Mar 9, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.