Radiant-Ruling
0x4900ca441235d5c570c5ea098cbc8b90f1b65b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.20
Total PnL
$-10.01
Realised
$-7.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- WICKED
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Hamburger SV win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on November 10?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$250.27Nov 12, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?$3.00Nov 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$10.00Nov 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$258.80Nov 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamburger SV win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$266.32Nov 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$267.99Nov 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on November 10?$3.00Nov 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?$2.05Nov 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?$2.00Sep 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?$0.00Sep 23, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.23Sep 23, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?$2.03Sep 23, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2.20Sep 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$3.04Sep 23, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?$2.00Jul 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2.00Jul 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.00Jul 3, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.00Jul 3, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.