Untried-Exercise
0x4901aa858c255bc47e04cbe0ea59268eb25fb8bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$95.19
Total PnL
$-9.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?
94 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$94.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
653 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?$94.01Jun 9, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 9?$1.00Jun 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$3.32Jun 9, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.10Jun 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.00Jun 5, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$98.10Jun 5, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$98.01May 23, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 21?$1.00May 23, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 21?$1.20May 23, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$1.20May 23, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$95.09May 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$95.00May 21, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$1.20May 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 21?$1.00May 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 21?$1.20May 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?$3.32May 21, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 15?$101.10May 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 15?$101.01May 14, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$101.10May 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$101.01May 9, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $77.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.