Well-Groomed-Effectiveness
0x4902c79a7d4a167cd2f813916c25e66a821bae52
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$99.10
Total PnL
$-56.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
99 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$99.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?
1615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 10?
1504 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 28?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$99.00Jun 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$3.46Jun 11, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$103.10Jun 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$103.01Jun 7, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?$103.00Jun 7, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?$102.91Jun 3, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$102.10Jun 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$102.00May 31, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$4.20May 31, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?$30.03May 31, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$76.08May 31, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$76.01May 27, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?$30.00May 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$106.11May 27, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$106.01May 23, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$106.81May 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$106.70May 17, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$106.11May 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$106.01May 14, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$106.11May 14, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $66.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.