Mild-Quail
0x490889d8e8aeef22baae2ae41546f921255b6de1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.91
Total PnL
$-149.69
Realised
$-18.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$15.91
$1.91
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on October 7?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 7?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
213 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $220 on October 14?
104 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
97 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 14?
95 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-7.09
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $220 on October 14?$17.00Oct 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 14?$7.09Oct 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.00Oct 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$10.00Oct 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$10.00Oct 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$14.00Oct 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14?$14.00Oct 13, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?$18.46Oct 13, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 7?$25.00Oct 10, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 10?$15.63Oct 10, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 10?$5.00Oct 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?$18.07Oct 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Oct 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 7?$5.00Oct 6, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 7?$2.00Oct 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 7?$3.00Oct 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $160 on October 7?$5.00Oct 6, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 6, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".