Pessimistic-Engagement
0x490a8f6c00ca10ff4dc9af7e3cd51d01ac2c9836
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
257 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
201 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?
49 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-29.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?$29.21Apr 30, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$1.76Apr 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Yunakivka before June?$27.45Apr 30, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$0.00Apr 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$19.99Apr 17, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$20.00Apr 17, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before June?$19.32Apr 17, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$116.55Apr 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$10.00Apr 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$30.00Apr 15, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$10.00Apr 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$30.00Apr 15, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $76.86Apr 14, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $30.00Apr 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $20.00Apr 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$10.00Apr 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$0.88Apr 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$10.00Apr 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$1.00Apr 12, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$20.00Apr 12, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $22.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".