Jubilant-Dealing
0x490c03fd86f4ad0d263264403ac19fda70f33093
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$65.44
Total PnL
$-243.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$34.67
$15.95
- NO
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$30.77
$10.77
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
335 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.17
- YES
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
38 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
36 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.78
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
29 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$160.17Sep 11, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will Houston beat LA Galaxy?$0.00Sep 11, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$20.69Sep 2, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$13.46Aug 21, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$0.00Aug 9, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEM50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?$0.00Aug 4, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMPirates vs. Giants$52.63Jul 31, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$20.00Jul 30, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?$20.00Jul 30, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?$20.00Jul 30, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will Houston beat LA Galaxy?$20.00Jul 30, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPirates vs. Giants$20.00Jul 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?$25.64Jul 30, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$8.74Jul 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$35.60Jul 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$8.16Jul 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$6.70Jul 30, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?$10.00Jul 30, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$9.45Jul 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake before August?$89.11Jul 30, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $19.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 11, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".