Severe-Influx
0x490eca3e352d8d49c23ef0f7cec0a1ae42c318eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$80.36
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$79.91Jun 22, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$36.26Apr 9, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$37.25Apr 9, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$72.38Apr 9, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$34.27Mar 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$36.08Mar 11, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$72.16Mar 9, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$68.58Mar 6, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $190 in February?$72.13Mar 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$68.45Feb 26, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $190 in February?$72.06Feb 25, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $160 in February?$136.92Feb 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in February?$136.78Feb 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17.2KJan 28, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17.2KJan 28, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.61Jan 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.38Nov 11, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.