Polite-Insolence
0x490ef83330b9ac8f29b44b31a9139bbd88ac19d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$104.61
Total PnL
$4.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?$50.51Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?$30.61Jun 4, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$86.93Jun 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$24.12May 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?$5.87May 29, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$50.85May 28, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$50.42May 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?$50.22May 27, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$20.00May 27, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00May 27, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.06May 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?$5.04May 27, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $34.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.