Curly-Nibble
0x4916f8a95dd55d078224b4b333de818e29c3d82a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.38
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3035 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
2809 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
2027 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
1527 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.07
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
632 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $50?
613 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
578 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2?
396 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$7.80Feb 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$8.04Feb 17, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$2.03Feb 16, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$1.00Feb 16, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$11.07Feb 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$2.16Feb 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.01Feb 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 70% and 75%?$0.06Feb 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 70% and 75%?$0.06Feb 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.08Feb 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 4, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.65Jan 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.30Jan 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.15Jan 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.69Jan 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.81Jan 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.70Jan 26, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.70Jan 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.22Jan 23, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.