Juvenile-Gadget
0x4917b2f6a0bbc38f3483bd1d60b3fa8af6dc4212
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$12.02
Total PnL
$-39.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.01Jan 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.00Dec 12, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.01Dec 8, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.00Dec 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.00Dec 5, 02:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".