Voluminous-Quiver
0x49199e281e884c0706ea2e16c35b1a00aab889a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-552.35
Realised
$-6.12
Win rate
2%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?
171 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-65.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?
168 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 20?
88 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 16?
51 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
37 shares @ 89.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-32.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?
37 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?
37 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?
36 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 3?
33 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?
32 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$4.31Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$4.48Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$4.31Jul 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$4.43Jul 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$0.04Jul 11, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 11?$0.15Jul 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 11?$1.19Jul 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$1.74Jul 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?$2.06Jul 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 8?$1.81Jul 8, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 7?$1.86Jul 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$3.80Jul 4, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$2.46Jul 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$2.11Jul 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$5.22Jul 4, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$5.09Jul 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$8.62Jul 4, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$8.62Jul 4, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$8.62Jul 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 5?$6.87Jul 4, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
45 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.