Political-Stamen
0x491b0b7de12aff775e2552d08dbfd54699a87dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
1469 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
213 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-119.10
- YES
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?
212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
67 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$5.44Apr 23, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?$123.00Apr 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$0.40Apr 16, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$0.05Apr 16, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$0.56Apr 16, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$3.00Apr 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?$10.10Apr 16, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?$10.00Apr 16, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$4.92Apr 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.