Lost-Overload
0x491ce19dc5361b73303d35ea4183286d82f70203
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-33.62
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Score
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
101 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. France: Both Teams to Score$5.00Feb 28, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?$1.00Feb 25, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.50Feb 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta advance to the round of 16?$12.00Feb 25, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta advance to the round of 16?$4.20Feb 25, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 25, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.13Feb 24, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.30Feb 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 23, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 23, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.57Feb 22, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.62Feb 22, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.11Feb 22, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.64Feb 22, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 22, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 22, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$9.98Feb 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$1.00Feb 8, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.