Mountainous-Hypothermia
0x491e1c2cd4b66ea6d2c5d34c81734a0ee0e7f6d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-256.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 25?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18?
1856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 23°F or below on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 28?$1.07Jun 27, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$25.42Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$15.18Jun 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.16Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?$1.07Jun 6, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$30.44Jun 6, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.24Jun 6, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.03May 31, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.16May 31, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.88May 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29?$1.05May 28, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$10.15May 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 26?$1.07May 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$30.45May 26, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 25?$1.07May 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $120 on May 19?$1.07May 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$15.22May 18, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Ducks$58.82May 18, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$1.07May 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$30.44May 14, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.