Complicated-Cycle
0x49222a6e20bb9bd1c0d72dfb941988f68c6c13cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-525.43
Realised
$2.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?
632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2024$0.00
$-315.76
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
387 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-166.40
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
370 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-45.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$144.27Apr 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$396.89Apr 24, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$20.59Apr 24, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$4.32Apr 21, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.32Apr 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$1.03Apr 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$7.92Apr 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$3.43Apr 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$4.14Apr 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.62Apr 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.13Apr 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.16Apr 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$1.24Apr 19, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$1.04Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.80Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.32Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.32Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$4.80Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$8.00Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$0.10Apr 19, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.