Hard-To-Find-Wick
0x4925095a5a27ab8371ac34b715c7a8783157a45e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.85
Total PnL
$-78.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
42 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$40.85
$0.85
- YES
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?
1535 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- RAIDERS
Raiders vs. Eagles
24 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
21 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- CHIEFS
Texans vs. Chiefs
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CHIEFS
Chargers vs. Chiefs
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- RAVENS
Steelers vs. Ravens
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- BUCCANEERS
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
12 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- BUCCANEERS
Saints vs. Buccaneers
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kaiki be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$50.10Jun 4, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$20.04May 29, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$20.00May 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$40.07May 25, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kaiki be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$50.00May 25, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$6.80May 25, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$11.02May 25, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in March?$80.32May 25, 17:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.65Mar 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in March?$80.00Mar 11, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$7.39Mar 11, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$8.00Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.02Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$8.28Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$8.59Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.74Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$8.77Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$9.01Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$9.04Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$9.96Mar 10, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".