Polished-Lumberman
0x492ebcd5fcfc890f87e82538e7c6ca395518c50b
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?
163 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$160.77
$0.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 13?
116 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$113.16
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 13?
83 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$81.20
$1.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$80.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$80.24
$0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$80.11
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$80.11
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$79.99
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$79.31
$-0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 13?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$79.19
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 13?$79.953m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 13?$79.9929m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13?$79.9937m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?$40.133h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 13?$79.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 13?$80.053h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 13?$79.953h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 13?$79.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 13?$79.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 13?$33.243h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?$79.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 13?$79.994h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 13?$79.995h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 13?$79.996h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?$39.996h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $71.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".