Pessimistic-Opportunity
0x492f0ae94cd06c74eea115363ffa95fddc31ad45
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$86.40
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
16653 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
552 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
287 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-62.58
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?
270 shares @ 82.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-222.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
217 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
193 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-103.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
189 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-98.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
186 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- G2 MINNESOTA
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5)
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
169 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-88.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$25.00Jan 14, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$9.65Jan 14, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$9.84Jan 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$20.00Jan 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Jan 14, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jan 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$9.65Jan 13, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$9.65Jan 13, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$9.84Jan 13, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$9.84Jan 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?$1.00Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Jan 13, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".