Thin-Macaw
0x493195f4808e859945c582f757b028026c0fc75e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-338.83
Realised
$56.32
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 10?
13000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
9700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?
9281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?
9277 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
8417 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
7000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 15?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?
6223 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$0.93Jun 1, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$0.03Jun 1, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$0.39Jun 1, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$2.00Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs$40.00May 31, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$27.20May 29, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.74May 22, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$1.17May 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$1.40May 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$1.50May 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.08May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.03May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$1.80May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.03May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.03May 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$1.50May 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$0.72May 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?$0.44May 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?$1.00May 22, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?$0.02May 22, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".