Pertinent-Pudding
0x49361225a387b287ba650c13b8ecc4601f662b89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-950.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Eagles
1429 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
1291 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1282 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
678 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
537 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
126 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$471.76May 22, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Nov 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$10.00Nov 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$100.00Sep 15, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$100.00Sep 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$100.00Sep 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$100.00Sep 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?$200.00Sep 4, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Sep 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Eagles$300.00Sep 4, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMPirates vs. Mariners$781.25Jul 9, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBrewers vs. Marlins$909.09Jul 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Marlins$500.00Jul 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPirates vs. Mariners$500.00Jul 4, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 2, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 2, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$300.00May 25, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$157.10May 25, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $185.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.