Full-Calcification-Enforcement
0x4937ca9dafd327aa87bc1ad76b80e1360b9efbd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$26.82
Realised
$6.61
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 28?
128 shares @ 87.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$107.97
$-4.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 28?
92 shares @ 78.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$79.17
$7.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 28?
71 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$65.51
$5.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?
45 shares @ 81.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$45.38
$8.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 28?
53 shares @ 89.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$44.09
$-3.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?
37 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$37.13
$3.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 28?
53 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$33.34
$-2.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?
33 shares @ 58.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$33.14
$13.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 28?
35 shares @ 84.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$30.66
$1.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 27?
30 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$30.25
$2.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 27?$9.37Jul 27, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 27?$8.73Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 27?$1.61Jul 27, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 27?$0.33Jul 27, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 28?$1.15Jul 27, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 28?$1.49Jul 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 27?$0.13Jul 27, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?$0.12Jul 27, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?$0.07Jul 27, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$1.41Jul 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 27?$0.47Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 28?$0.92Jul 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?$1.05Jul 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?$0.56Jul 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?$0.51Jul 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 27?$1.07Jul 27, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?$1.51Jul 27, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$4.55Jul 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 27?$1.31Jul 27, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 27?$3.93Jul 27, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.