Unruly-Warmup
0x4938897cf30c2cd8bd686bf188d3049a4e8f444e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$76.41
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2417 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
2400 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6AM ET
1828 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-278.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?
1477 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-232.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
528 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
519 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?
518 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLakers vs. Heat$23.26Mar 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Heat$10.00Mar 19, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$17.14Mar 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$15.71Feb 9, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$0.00Feb 9, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$43.48Feb 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$5.00Feb 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$40.00Feb 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$56.07Feb 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?$5.00Jan 31, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?$10.00Jan 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?$46.42Jan 29, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$70.00Jan 29, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$100.00Jan 29, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?$20.00Jan 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?$60.00Jan 20, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?$40.00Jan 19, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$93.00Jan 19, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$163.71Jan 16, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$160.00Jan 10, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".