Green-Run
0x49389ccd5b4b18980b09b3fdcca63831f5a9e857
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$15.03
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-5.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$15.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
854 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
650 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
126 shares @ 79.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
28 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-24.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
23 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?$15.00Feb 20, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?$5.08Feb 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?$5.00Jan 26, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.3KNov 29, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.3KNov 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.3KNov 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.3KNov 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$101.08Nov 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$313.50Nov 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$300.00Nov 28, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 27?$2.3KNov 28, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$0.00Nov 28, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$2.8KNov 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 27?$2.3KNov 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$200.00Nov 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$2.6KNov 27, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 26?$5.1KNov 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 26?$5.1KNov 26, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.1KNov 26, 05:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.