0x493d527f04ac00660114a71953f571ca20091309
0x493d527f04ac00660114a71953f571ca20091309
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 29, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?$2.00Dec 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.00Dec 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".