Thrifty-Defeat
0x49405c60fd55ffc74b2aefdccf7a307b6482e353
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$353.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
666 shares @ 52.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$666.30
$314.80
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
1457 shares @ 18.7¢·now 21.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.85
$44.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?
97 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$97.17
$15.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 1?
40 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$39.81
$3.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 1?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$30.00
$7.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 1?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.21Apr 4, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 1?$43.86Apr 1, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 1?$3.54Apr 1, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?$36.02Apr 1, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?$123.88Apr 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 1?$0.61Apr 1, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 1?$1.24Apr 1, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 1?$1.36Apr 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 1?$6.70Apr 1, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?$0.75Apr 1, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 1?$0.22Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 1?$0.33Apr 1, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 1?$1.36Apr 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 1?$1.31Apr 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 1?$0.78Apr 1, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 1?$14.17Apr 1, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?$3.42Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 1?$6.54Apr 1, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 1?$0.62Apr 1, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?$11.10Apr 1, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".