Gracious-Chrome
0x4940dcfffea181e594f017d1431075c4900352ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-846.74
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
378915 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-798.75
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?
9013 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3641 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.41
- NO
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
2520 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1303 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.12
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
1296 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
855 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-394.56
- YES
Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
850 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
812 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
787 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-66.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$26.54Mar 1, 02:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 1, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$530.00Feb 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$34.00Feb 28, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$395.00Feb 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.00Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$3.20Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.65Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.40Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.50Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.00Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68.00Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$4.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$12.31Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$70.13Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Feb 28, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Feb 27, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $41.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".