0x4941c00176305ef41fbced57736099748032a2be
0x4941c00176305ef41fbced57736099748032a2be
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$116.99
Total PnL
$-372.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?
122 shares @ 20.4¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$22.03
$-2.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 17?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$21.42
$1.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.65
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.44
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.43
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 81.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 17?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.02
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.87
$-0.15
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.78
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?$4.46May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$4.97May 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?$0.55May 16, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 17?$0.85May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?$0.45May 15, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?$117.64May 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 15?$5.95May 15, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 15?$6.13May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 17?$4.14May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?$4.52May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?$5.03May 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?$4.96May 15, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?$4.89May 15, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$0.23May 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$4.74May 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?$5.00May 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?$5.02May 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?$4.99May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 17?$19.99May 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?$25.99May 15, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".