Vibrant-Manifestation
0x494519ce858750ce89aff0b308a49e22af8e3820
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.86
Realised
$-9.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
99 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-12.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
98 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 15 million views on week 1?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.30
- EDWARD GAMING
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$69.30Jun 4, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?$261.05Jun 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$98.44Jun 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?$232.77Mar 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 24?$27.99Mar 24, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 10?$103.00Mar 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 10?$102.79Mar 10, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase$5.00Mar 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?$110.00Mar 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 11?$187.78Mar 10, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 11?$187.59Feb 11, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?$109.89Feb 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase$4.20Feb 11, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Feb 11, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?$50.31Feb 11, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on January 19?$246.37Feb 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?$50.26Feb 8, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.26Feb 8, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$30.00Feb 8, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.00Jan 26, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $77.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".